Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Nice2 - 1Le Havre
We said: Nice 3-1 Le Havre
Nice were thrashed at Lyon last weekend, but still showed more than enough in attack to suggest that they will have too much for a struggling Le Havre side that start the weekend in the bottom three. Only one other club in Europe's top-five leagues are yet to draw a game at all this season, and that is unlikely to change this weekend for Le Havre, as they are staring down the barrel at a 10th league defeat in 14 matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Le Havre |
55.76% ( 0.02) | 24% ( 0.16) | 20.24% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 49.04% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.52% ( -0.83) | 51.48% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( -0.73) | 73.28% ( 0.73) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( -0.3) | 18.32% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.59% ( -0.52) | 49.41% ( 0.52) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.04% ( -0.66) | 39.96% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.39% ( -0.61) | 76.61% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
Nice 55.76%
Le Havre 20.24%
Draw 23.99%
| Nice | Draw | Le Havre |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.26% Total : 55.76% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.24% |
How you voted: Nice vs Le Havre
Nice
82.1%Draw
15.4%Le Havre
2.6%39
Head to Head
May 10, 2024 8pm
