Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Nice2 - 2Lille
We said: Nice 1-1 Lille
The most drawn Ligue 1 fixture of the last 20 years looks devilishly difficult to predict once again, with both clubs on impressive unbeaten runs domestically, and pushing for the top four. Genesio has never beaten Haise as a manager in five previous meetings, and while Lille will certainly be competitive, it is tough to separate the two, and yet another draw between these sides looks on the cards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Nice had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Lille |
34.96% ( 0.1) | 26.32% ( 0.03) | 38.72% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.02% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.34% ( -0.09) | 51.66% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( -0.08) | 73.44% ( 0.08) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( 0.02) | 28.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.02% ( 0.02) | 63.98% ( -0.02) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( -0.11) | 26.08% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.86% ( -0.15) | 61.14% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Nice 34.96%
Lille 38.72%
Draw 26.31%
| Nice | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.96% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.72% |
How you voted: Nice vs Lille
Nice
31.7%Draw
41.7%Lille
26.7%60
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Lille
2-2
Nice
Arnar Haraldsson (55'), Andre (73')
Arnar Haraldsson (58'), Alexsandro (61'), Andre (90+1')
Zhegrova (90+8')
Arnar Haraldsson (58'), Alexsandro (61'), Andre (90+1')
Zhegrova (90+8')
Aug 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Nice
1-1
Lille
Jan 29, 2023 12pm
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Nice
1-3
Lille
