Europa League

Europa League | First Qualifying Round

Aug 27, 2020 at 7pm UK

Stadion Bijeli Brijeg

Zrinjski
3 - 0
Differdange 03

Bilbija (37'), Filipovic (40'), Ivancic (80')
Jakovljevic (14'), Stojkic (22'), Basic (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Balde (26'), Lempereur (51'), Rodrigues (65')

Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Zrinjski Mostar and FC Differdange 03.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Differdange 03 had a probability of 13.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Differdange 03 win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zrinjski would win this match.

Result
Zrinjski Mostar	Draw	FC Differdange 03
66.69%	19.94%	13.37%

Both teams to score 47.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77%

46.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.47%

68.53%

Zrinjski Mostar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.05%

12.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.58%

39.42%

FC Differdange 03 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.43%

45.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.61%

81.39%

Score Analysis

Zrinjski Mostar 66.68%

FC Differdange 03 13.37%

Draw 19.94%

Zrinjski Mostar	Draw	FC Differdange 03
2-0 @ 12.33% 1-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 8.4% 3-1 @ 6.6% 4-0 @ 4.29% 4-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.88% Total : 66.68%	1-1 @ 9.48% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.94%	0-1 @ 4.64% 1-2 @ 3.73% 0-2 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1% 1-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.22% Total : 13.37%