FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
1 - 1
Gillingham

Walker (83')
Bird (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mandron (45+3')
O'Keefe (5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Fylde and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Peterborough Sports
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Gillingham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fylde have proven to be a tough nut to crack on their own patch of late, while Gillingham have struggled massively on the road recently. We expect a close game here nonetheless with the home side just about coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Fylde	Draw	Gillingham
32.08% ( 0.09)	25.01% ( -0.02)	42.92% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 56.66% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.38% (

0.11)

46.62% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.11% (

0.1)

68.89% (

-0.1)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

0.11)

27.62% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85% (

0.14)

63.15% (

-0.14)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28% (

0.01)

21.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.11% (

0.02)

54.89% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Fylde 32.08%

Gillingham 42.92%

Draw 25%

Fylde	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.08%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 42.92%