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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Stevenage

Gillingham
1 - 1
Stevenage

Baggott (40')
Adelakun (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rose (28')
Rose (39'), Roberts (55'), Earley (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Stevenage

Gillingham have been playing well as of late, despite their league positioning, and that is something that could lead to them causing problems on Sunday. However, even with the confidence that the hosts have, Saturday will likely prove to be a difficult test for them against a team proving to be dominant right now. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawStevenage
29.43% (-0.029 -0.03) 27.16% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 43.41% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.63% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.56% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)56.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55% (-0.029 -0.03)77.45% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)34.48% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)71.19% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)25.79% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)60.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 29.43%
    Stevenage 43.4%
    Draw 27.16%
GillinghamDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 29.43%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.89% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 8.17% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 43.4%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Stevenage

Gillingham
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
Stevenage
90.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2014 7.45pm
Stevenage
0-1
Gillingham

Day (17'), Henry (19')
Norris (17' pen.)
Dack (93')
Hoyte (64')
Feb 4, 2014 7.45pm
Stevenage
3-1
Gillingham
Zoko (22' pen.), Charles (30', 59')
Jones (49'), Charles (87')
McDonald (56')
Gregory (70'), Smith (79')
Hewitt (21')
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
Gillingham
3-2
Stevenage
Kedwell (47' pen.), Daniels (52'), Mousinho (76')
Heslop (37'), Zoko (60')
Hartley (84')
Feb 1, 2011 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Gillingham

Beardsley (18'), Foster (90')
Akinfenwa (50'), McDonald (45')
Gowling (27'), Maher (45'), Lawrence (89')
Jan 1, 2011 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Stevenage
Akinfenwa (38')
Spiller (90')

Beardsley (3'), Foster (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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