FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Nethermoor Park
Guiseley3 - 01874 Northwich
Longbottom (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Guiseley and 1874 Northwich.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guiseley 3-0 Ashton United
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: 1874 Northwich 3-2 Stocksbridge
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guiseley win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for 1874 Northwich had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guiseley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a 1874 Northwich win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guiseley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guiseley | Draw | 1874 Northwich |
68.91% ( -0.04) | 16.46% ( 0) | 14.63% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 64.2% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.54% ( 0.06) | 26.46% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.2% ( 0.08) | 46.8% ( -0.07) |
| Guiseley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.96% ( 0.01) | 7.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.28% ( 0.02) | 25.72% ( -0.02) |
| 1874 Northwich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( 0.08) | 30.94% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.76% ( 0.1) | 67.24% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Guiseley 68.91%
1874 Northwich 14.63%
Draw 16.46%
| Guiseley | Draw | 1874 Northwich |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.96% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.8% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.39% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.64% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.84% Total : 68.91% | 1-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 16.46% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.56% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 14.63% |
