FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
Horsham1 - 0Gorleston
Meekums (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Horsham and Gorleston.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Gorleston had a probability of 9.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a Gorleston win it was 1-2 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Horsham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Horsham | Draw | Gorleston |
74.64% ( -0.29) | 15.42% ( 0.14) | 9.94% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.67% ( -0.2) | 34.33% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.76% ( -0.23) | 56.24% ( 0.23) |
| Horsham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.21% ( -0.11) | 7.79% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.34% ( -0.27) | 27.66% ( 0.28) |
| Gorleston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.33% ( 0.15) | 43.67% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.15% ( 0.13) | 79.85% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Horsham 74.63%
Gorleston 9.94%
Draw 15.42%
| Horsham | Draw | Gorleston |
| 2-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 74.63% | 1-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.02% Total : 15.42% | 1-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 9.94% |
Form Guide
