FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hartsdown Park
Margate1 - 1Horsham
Olutade (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ogunwamide (71')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Margate and Horsham.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Margate had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 0-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Margate win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Margate | Draw | Horsham |
19.23% ( 0.02) | 20.06% ( 0) | 60.71% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.5% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.48% ( 0.01) | 35.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.43% ( 0.01) | 57.57% ( -0) |
| Margate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.26% ( 0.03) | 31.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.84% ( 0.03) | 68.16% ( -0.03) |
| Horsham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.62% ( -0) | 11.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.89% ( -0.01) | 36.11% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Margate 19.23%
Horsham 60.71%
Draw 20.06%
| Margate | Draw | Horsham |
| 2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.15% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.38% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 19.23% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.09% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.07% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.85% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.36% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.21% 1-5 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.46% ( -0)2-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.68% Total : 60.71% |
