MX23RW : Monday, December 23 03:40:28| >> :600:775987:775987:
Sutton United
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
3 - 0
Horsham

Pereira (64', 74'), Patrick (89')
Clay (52'), Kizzi (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sutton United and Horsham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Horsham 0-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Sutton United 3-1 Horsham

While Horsham's display at Oakwell showed that they can certainly take the game to higher opposition and cause problems, we do not anticipate them pulling off another similar result this weekend, and while they may cause problems for Gray's side, Sutton should have what it takes to come out on top on home turf and book their place in the third round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Horsham had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Horsham win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawHorsham
49.03% (-2.832 -2.83) 23.19% (0.48 0.48) 27.77% (2.348 2.35)
Both teams to score 60.33% (0.508 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (-0.302 -0.3)40.65% (0.298 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97% (-0.312 -0.31)63.03% (0.307 0.31)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-1.127 -1.13)16.79% (1.123 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-2.046 -2.05)46.75% (2.04 2.04)
Horsham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5% (1.566 1.57)27.49% (-1.572 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37% (1.979 1.98)63% (-1.984 -1.98)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 49.03%
    Horsham 27.77%
    Draw 23.19%
Sutton UnitedDrawHorsham
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.462 -0.46)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.25 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.29 -0.29)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.154 0.15)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.423 0.42)
0-1 @ 5.96% (0.334 0.33)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.371 0.37)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.301 0.3)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.177 0.18)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.224 0.22)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.77%

How you voted: Sutton vs Horsham

Sutton United
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Horsham
33.3%
9
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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