FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
3 - 0
Horsham

Pereira (64', 74'), Patrick (89')
Clay (52'), Kizzi (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sutton United and Horsham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Horsham

All competitions

Last Game: Horsham 0-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Sutton United 3-1 Horsham

While Horsham's display at Oakwell showed that they can certainly take the game to higher opposition and cause problems, we do not anticipate them pulling off another similar result this weekend, and while they may cause problems for Gray's side, Sutton should have what it takes to come out on top on home turf and book their place in the third round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Horsham had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Horsham win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Horsham
49.03% ( -2.83)	23.19% ( 0.48)	27.77% ( 2.35)

Both teams to score 60.33% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.35% (

-0.3)

40.65% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.97% (

-0.31)

63.03% (

0.31)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.21% (

-1.13)

16.79% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.25% (

-2.05)

46.75% (

2.04)

Horsham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.5% (

1.57)

27.49% (

-1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37% (

1.98)

63% (

-1.98)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 49.03%

Horsham 27.77%

Draw 23.19%

Sutton United	Draw	Horsham
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.46) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.2% Total : 49.03%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.77%