Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Maldon & Tiptree and Morecambe.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Maldon & Tiptree had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Maldon & Tiptree win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maldon & Tiptree | Draw | Morecambe |
| 28.41% | 24.22% | 47.38% |
| Both teams to score 57.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.1% | 44.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.75% | 67.25% |
| Maldon & Tiptree Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% | 29.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.82% | 65.18% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% | 19.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.33% | 50.67% |
| Score Analysis |
Maldon & Tiptree 28.41%
Morecambe 47.38%
Draw 24.22%
| Maldon & Tiptree | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-1 @ 6.99% 1-0 @ 6.86% 2-0 @ 4.22% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.38% Total : 28.41% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 9.41% 0-1 @ 9.24% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 5.2% 0-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.22% Total : 47.38% |
