Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
