Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
