Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hednesford Town win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Rugby Town had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hednesford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Rugby Town win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
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