FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Rose (70')
Kyprianou (80'), Carlyle (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Assal (5')
Kalambayi (53'), Gunter (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Weymouth and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weymouth

All competitions

Last Game: Dartford 3-0 Weymouth
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 AFC Wimbledon (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Weymouth 0-3 AFC Wimbledon

It is hard to see anything other than AFC Wimbledon storming to victory here, considering Weymouth's form and the gap between the sides in the English football pyramid. Weymouth will be eager to cause an early FA Cup upset, but we struggle to see them having much joy against Jackson's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Weymouth	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
27.6% ( 0.04)	24.91% ( 0)	47.5% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.38% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.58% (

0.02)

48.42% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.44% (

0.02)

70.55% (

-0.02)

Weymouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34% (

0.04)

31.65% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.93% (

0.04)

68.06% (

-0.04)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57% (

-0.01)

20.43% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.12% (

-0.02)

52.87% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Weymouth 27.6%

AFC Wimbledon 47.49%

Draw 24.9%

Weymouth	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.6%	1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.73% Total : 47.49%