FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium
Weymouth1 - 1AFC Wimbledon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dartford 3-0 Weymouth
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 AFC Wimbledon (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Weymouth 0-3 AFC Wimbledon
It is hard to see anything other than AFC Wimbledon storming to victory here, considering Weymouth's form and the gap between the sides in the English football pyramid. Weymouth will be eager to cause an early FA Cup upset, but we struggle to see them having much joy against Jackson's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
27.6% ( 0.04) | 24.91% ( 0) | 47.5% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
