World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Jan 28, 2022 at 9pm UK

colombia

Colombia
0 - 1
Peru

Mina (17')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Flores (85')
Carrillo (45+2'), Cueva (56'), Corzo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Peru will fancy their chances of picking up a positive result here considering their recent performances, but it is difficult to back against Colombia in this contest. The home side have had their issues in the section but should have enough quality to secure all three points on their return to qualification action. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Peru
53.72%	26.57%	19.7%

Both teams to score 41.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.85%

61.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.9%

81.1%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99%

23.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19%

56.81%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.82%

46.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.14%

81.86%

Score Analysis

Colombia 53.72%

Peru 19.7%

Draw 26.57%

Colombia	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 15.61% 2-0 @ 11.46% 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 4.34% 4-0 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.49% Total : 53.72%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 3.42% Other @ 0.46% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 8.21% 1-2 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.7%