World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jan 28, 2022 at 9pm UK
colombia
Colombia0 - 1Peru
We said: Colombia 2-1 Peru
Peru will fancy their chances of picking up a positive result here considering their recent performances, but it is difficult to back against Colombia in this contest. The home side have had their issues in the section but should have enough quality to secure all three points on their return to qualification action. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Peru |
| 53.72% | 26.57% | 19.7% |
| Both teams to score 41.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
