MX23RW : Monday, January 6 12:52:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 at 11am UK
 

Avispa Fukuoka
2 - 3
Nagoya Grampus

Croux (21'), Hiratsuka (57')
Nara (90+1')
Miya (67')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Morishita (2'), Nagai (24', 38')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

Last Six:
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, August 31 at 11am in J1 League

Nagoya Grampus

Last Six:
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, August 27 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 34.65%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.81%) and 1-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (13.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawNagoya Grampus
34.28% (-1.058 -1.06) 31.08% (-0.808 -0.81) 34.65% (1.874 1.87)
Both teams to score 39.4% (1.985 1.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.68% (2.254 2.25)68.32% (-2.249 -2.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.86% (1.455 1.46)86.14% (-1.449 -1.45)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64% (0.538 0.54)37.36% (-0.533 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85% (0.525 0.53)74.15% (-0.52 -0.52)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.9% (2.654 2.65)37.1% (-2.65 -2.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.11% (2.542 2.54)73.89% (-2.537 -2.54)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 34.27%
    Nagoya Grampus 34.64%
    Draw 31.07%
Avispa FukuokaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 13.64% (-0.97 -0.97)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.374 -0.37)
2-1 @ 6.66% (0.119 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.08% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 34.27%
0-0 @ 13.86% (-1.2 -1.2)
1-1 @ 13.53% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.3% (0.285 0.29)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 31.07%
0-1 @ 13.74% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.405 0.41)
1-2 @ 6.71% (0.489 0.49)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.281 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.305 0.31)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.163 0.16)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 34.64%

Head to Head
May 25, 2022 11.30am
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Nakatani (15')
Tiago (43')

Lukian (25'), Mae (28'), Yanagi (67')
Aug 22, 2021 10am
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Swierczok (49')
Naruse (34')

Salomonsson (64'), Grolli (90+1')
Feb 28, 2021 4am
Avispa Fukuoka
1-2
Nagoya Grampus
Kanamori (82')
Grolli (7'), Shigehiro (48'), Shichi (90+1')
Mateus (4', 55')
Yamasaki (13'), Soma (49')
rhs 2.0
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