Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.