La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Jul 1, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Mestalla

Valencia
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Diakhaby (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garcia (13', 47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga contest between Valencia and Athletic Bilbao, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
41.39%	26.67%	31.94%

Both teams to score 51.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.34%

53.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.85%

75.15%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.43%

25.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.56%

60.44%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78%

31.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.44%

67.56%

Score Analysis

Valencia 41.39%

Athletic Bilbao 31.94%

Draw 26.66%

Valencia	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.39%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 5.03% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.94%