Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Osasuna |
47.98% ( 0.46) | 26.52% ( -0.27) | 25.5% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 47.84% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.85% ( 0.88) | 56.15% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.79% ( 0.71) | 77.21% ( -0.71) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.57% ( 0.59) | 23.43% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.56% ( 0.86) | 57.43% ( -0.86) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.48% ( 0.32) | 37.52% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.7% ( 0.31) | 74.3% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.98% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 25.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |