La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna2 - 2Villarreal
We said: Osasuna 1-1 Villarreal
Even with a full squad, it would be bold to back a Villarreal win here considering Osasuna's home record this season; it would not be a surprise to see the hosts edge this one, but we are expecting the Yellow Submarine to be good enough for a point on Sunday afternoon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Villarreal |
33.4% ( -0.21) | 25.7% ( 0.02) | 40.9% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
