Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Ceuta2 - 3Osasuna
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Ceuta and Osasuna.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna
Monday, December 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, December 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Ceuta had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Ceuta win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceuta | Draw | Osasuna |
28.23% ( -1.37) | 23.98% ( -0.45) | 47.78% ( 1.81) |
| Both teams to score 57.94% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% ( 1.19) | 43.96% ( -1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.65% ( 1.15) | 66.35% ( -1.15) |
| Ceuta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( -0.35) | 28.88% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.26% ( -0.44) | 64.74% ( 0.44) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% ( 1.22) | 18.54% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.22% ( 2.01) | 49.78% ( -2.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Ceuta 28.23%
Osasuna 47.78%
Draw 23.98%
| Ceuta | Draw | Osasuna |
| 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.42)2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.47% Total : 28.23% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.18)2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.42% Total : 47.78% |
How you voted: Ceuta vs Osasuna
Ceuta
11.9%Draw
2.4%Osasuna
85.7%42
