La Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Leganes0 - 1Mallorca
We said: Leganes 1-1 Mallorca
Leganes will be full of confidence after making an unbeaten start to the new season, and we think they will extend that run to four matches by holding Mallorca to a draw in the final round of fixtures before the international break. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 43.1%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Mallorca |
43.1% ( 0.12) | 30.05% ( 0.04) | 26.85% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 39.77% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
