Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.63%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Leganes |
48.76% ( 0.18) | 29.47% ( -0.1) | 21.77% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 37.27% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.14% ( 0.2) | 67.86% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.16% ( 0.13) | 85.84% ( -0.13) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.55% ( 0.19) | 28.45% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.79% ( 0.24) | 64.21% ( -0.25) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.09% ( 0.03) | 47.91% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.83% ( 0.02) | 83.16% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Leganes |
1-0 @ 17.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.41% Total : 48.75% | 0-0 @ 13.63% ( -0.1) 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 29.46% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 21.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |