La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna1 - 1Leganes
We said: Osasuna 1-1 Leganes
Leganes have not managed to beat Osasuna in La Liga since November 2016, and it is a big ask for the promoted outfit to win on Saturday. That said, we like the look of the Leganes squad this season and believe that they can claim a point in their campaign opener here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Leganes |
38.82% ( 0.82) | 30.12% ( -0.27) | 31.06% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 41.3% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.15% ( 0.7) | 65.85% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.52% ( 0.48) | 84.48% ( -0.48) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( 0.89) | 33% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.41% ( 0.97) | 69.58% ( -0.97) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.65% ( -0.03) | 38.35% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.89% ( -0.03) | 75.1% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Osasuna 38.82%
Leganes 31.05%
Draw 30.11%
| Osasuna | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 14.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.82% | 1-1 @ 13.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.11% | 0-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.62% Total : 31.05% |
How you voted: Osasuna vs Leganes
Osasuna
73.3%Draw
20.0%Leganes
6.7%45
Head to Head
Jun 27, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 32
Osasuna
2-1
Leganes
Nov 21, 2016 7.45pm
Leganes
2-0
Osasuna
Garcia Zubiria (43'), Riviere (55'), Olavide (88')
Form Guide
