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Thursday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Osasuna 1-2 Barcelona
Osasuna will be determined to bounce back from their European disappointment, and this has the potential to be a very tricky match for Barcelona. The Catalan side found a way to beat Villarreal last time out, though, and we are also backing them to navigate their way to a big three points here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
23.29% ( 0.89) | 24.4% ( 0.03) | 52.31% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( 0.76) | 49.78% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( 0.68) | 71.78% ( -0.67) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.01% ( 1.26) | 35.99% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.23% ( 1.26) | 72.76% ( -1.26) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.07) | 19% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.45% ( -0.11) | 50.55% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.31% |
