We said: Villarreal 2-2 Barcelona
Barcelona found it difficult against Getafe on the opening weekend of the season, and this has the potential to be a very difficult game for Xavi's side. Villarreal have a lot of talent all over the pitch, and we are actually backing a high-scoring draw in Sunday's contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.