La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
We said: Valencia 2-1 Las Palmas
This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and both sides will certainly believe that they can hurt the other in the final third of the field. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we have a feeling that Valencia will edge a close match in front of their own supporters.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 40.01% . A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.39%) . The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result Valencia Draw Las Palmas 32.5% ( -0.92) 27.49% ( -0.3) 40.01% ( 1.22)
Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.67)
43.28% ( 0.95) 56.72% ( -0.95)
22.33% ( 0.76) 77.67% ( -0.75)
67.61% ( -0.14) 32.39% ( 0.15)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.09% ( -0.16) 68.91% ( 0.16)
72.26% ( 1.15) 27.73% ( -1.15)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.69% ( 1.45) 63.3% ( -1.45)
Valencia 32.49%
Las Palmas 40.01%
Draw 27.48%
Valencia Draw Las Palmas 1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.49% 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.48% 0-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.01%
How you voted: Valencia vs Las Palmas
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rhs 2.0
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