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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Valencia logo

Sevilla
1 - 2
Valencia

En-Nesyri (69')
Rakitic (14'), Gudelj (45'), Acuna (90+7')
Bade (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diakhaby (60'), Guerra (88')
Diakhaby (10'), Ozkacar (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, August 6 at 3am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 5 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Valencia

Two of the last three league meetings between these two sides have finished level, while Sevilla are unbeaten against Valencia in Spain's top light since March 2019. We came close to backing a draw here, but Sevilla should be winning this type of match at Estadio Ramon considering their quality, so a home success is being predicted. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawValencia
38.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 27.95% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 33.29% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.69% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)58.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (0.013999999999999 0.01)78.89% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.19% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (0.033000000000001 0.03)65.13% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.65% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)69.19% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 38.76%
    Valencia 33.28%
    Draw 27.94%
SevillaDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.73%
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 10.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.28%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Valencia

Sevilla
85.1%
Draw
10.3%
Valencia
4.6%
87
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Valencia
0-2
Sevilla
Bade (55'), Suso (75')
Oct 18, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Sevilla
1-1
Valencia
Lamela (86')
Cavani (6')
Jan 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 21
Valencia
1-1
Sevilla
Guedes (44')
Gaya (45+2'), Lato (86')
Gaya (89')
Diakhaby (7' og.)
Acuna (45+2'), Montiel (45+4'), Torres (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 6
Sevilla
3-1
Valencia
Papu (3'), Lato (15' og.), Mir (22')
Lamela (17'), Montiel (30'), Mir (35'), Jordan (51'), Gudelj (82')
Duro (31')
Lato (17'), Alderete (17'), Diakhaby (68')
May 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 36
Sevilla
1-0
Valencia
En-Nesyri (66')
Escudero (7'), Gudelj (37')

Soler (80'), Paulista (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid22154350212949
2Atletico MadridAtletico22146237142348
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Mallorca2293101928-930
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Sevilla227782430-628
12Osasuna216962530-527
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17Espanyol2265112133-1223
18AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215


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