Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Valencia |
38.77% ( 0.03) | 27.95% ( -0) | 33.29% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.69% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.74% ( 0.02) | 58.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.11% ( 0.01) | 78.89% ( -0.01) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.81% ( 0.03) | 29.19% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.87% ( 0.03) | 65.13% ( -0.03) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.35% ( -0.01) | 32.65% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.81% ( -0.01) | 69.19% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.76% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 48 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 30 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
12 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | Espanyol | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 23 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |