Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Espanyol |
53.44% ( -5.01) | 25.09% ( 1.94) | 21.48% ( 3.07) |
Both teams to score 47.62% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.74% ( -3.75) | 54.25% ( 3.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.35% ( -3.23) | 75.65% ( 3.22) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% ( -3.3) | 20.29% ( 3.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.34% ( -5.55) | 52.65% ( 5.55) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.74% ( 1.17) | 40.25% ( -1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.12% ( 1.05) | 76.88% ( -1.06) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 13.02% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( -1.01) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.73) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.69) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.55) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.61% Total : 53.42% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.86) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 1.13) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 1.23) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.65) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.22) Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |