Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
48.24% | 24.66% | 27.1% |
Both teams to score 54.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.3% | 47.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.1% | 69.9% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.17% | 19.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.09% | 51.91% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.35% | 31.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.94% | 68.06% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.22% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.23% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.22% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.76% Total : 27.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |