Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.