Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
