Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ipswich Town in this match.