Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.