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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Oxford United |
33.3% | 25.45% | 41.24% |
Both teams to score 55.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.77% | 48.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.62% | 70.38% |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.37% | 27.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.83% | 63.17% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% | 23.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.87% | 57.12% |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 8.25% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.3% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |