League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Horton (74')
Jones (23'), Smith (69'), Rowe (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sykes (16'), Henry (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Doncaster Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Doncaster Rovers 1-2 Oxford United

The hosts have struggled both offensively and defensively of late, and it is hard to see them getting anything out of the game. We are tipping Oxford United to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.

Result
Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Oxford United
25.7%	24.31%	50%

Both teams to score 54.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.76%

47.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.53%

69.47%

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.48%

32.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.95%

69.05%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.07%

18.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.56%

50.44%

Score Analysis

Doncaster Rovers 25.7%

Oxford United 49.99%

Draw 24.31%

Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 6.92% 2-1 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.55% Total : 25.7%	1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.31%	0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-2 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 5.31% 0-3 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.21% 0-4 @ 1.97% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.19% Total : 49.99%