League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 16, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

The New York Stadium

Rotherham
1 - 0
Ipswich

Smith (78')
Edmonds-Green (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Burns (45'), Celina (45+4'), Norwood (47'), Woolfenden (56'), Aluko (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

Last Six:

Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Rotherham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wigan Athletic	46	38	92
2	Rotherham United	46	37	90
3	MK Dons	46	34	89

Ipswich Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Charlton
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Portsmouth	46	17	73
11	Ipswich Town	46	21	70
12	Accrington Stanley	46	-19	61

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Ipswich Town

With both teams in somewhat of a rut at a crucial period of the campaign, we do not expect a match full of quality. However, with Rotherham's confidence dwindling by the game, Ipswich appear to be favourites to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rotherham United in this match.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Ipswich Town
42.11%	25.86%	32.03%

Both teams to score 53.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.66%

50.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.71%

72.28%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28%

23.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.16%

57.84%

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51%

29.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.5%

65.5%

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 42.11%

Ipswich Town 32.03%

Draw 25.85%

Rotherham United	Draw	Ipswich Town
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.11%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.03%