League One

League One | Gameweek 40

Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
1 - 1
Rotherham

Ihiekwe (88' og.)
Matete (8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ihiekwe (17')
Rathbone (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Sunderland and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

Last Six:

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Wycombe
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Sheffield Wednesday	46	28	85
5	Sunderland	46	26	84
6	Wycombe Wanderers	46	24	83

Rotherham United

Last Six:

Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Rotherham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wigan Athletic	46	38	92
2	Rotherham United	46	37	90
3	MK Dons	46	34	89

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Rotherham United

Rotherham simply cannot afford another lackadaisical attacking performance on the road lest they leave their automatic promotion hopes in even more jeopardy, and a confidence-boosting win is just what the doctor ordered for the Millers. However, Sunderland's prolific weekend showing and spate of victories at the Stadium of Light arguably sees them enter the game as favourites, and we can only picture the Black Cats all but assuring themselves of a playoff place with a hard-fought triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Rotherham United
46.2%	25.85%	27.94%

Both teams to score 51.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.89%

52.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.17%

73.83%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.47%

22.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.89%

56.1%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.68%

33.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.06%

69.94%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 46.19%

Rotherham United 27.94%

Draw 25.85%

Sunderland	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.15% Total : 46.19%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 8.25% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.94%