Swindon

4 - 2

Burton Albion

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.