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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Barnsley |
49.48% ( 4.17) | 23.97% ( -0.71) | 26.55% ( -3.45) |
Both teams to score 56.6% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.9% ( 0.96) | 45.1% ( -0.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.55% ( 0.91) | 67.45% ( -0.91) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.69% ( 2.1) | 18.31% ( -2.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.6% ( 3.45) | 49.4% ( -3.45) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.29% ( -2) | 30.71% ( 2.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.03% ( -2.44) | 66.97% ( 2.44) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.71) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.52) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.67) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.36) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.39) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.46% Total : 49.48% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.6) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.67) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.64) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.36) Other @ 2.96% Total : 26.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |