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League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Barnsley

Wrexham
1 - 0
Barnsley

Rathbone (90+2')
McClean (72'), Dobson (75'), James (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Russell (47'), O'Keeffe (72'), Connell (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wrexham and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Barnsley

This is shaping up to be a very interesting match, with Barnsley strong on their travels this term; Wrexham are such a powerful force in front of their own fans, though, and we are expecting Parkinson's side to navigate their way to all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBarnsley
49.48% (4.167 4.17) 23.97% (-0.71 -0.71) 26.55% (-3.454 -3.45)
Both teams to score 56.6% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (0.96 0.96)45.1% (-0.957 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.55% (0.915 0.91)67.45% (-0.91199999999999 -0.91)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (2.102 2.1)18.31% (-2.098 -2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6% (3.449 3.45)49.4% (-3.447 -3.45)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-2.004 -2)30.71% (2.008 2.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (-2.435 -2.44)66.97% (2.438 2.44)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 49.48%
    Barnsley 26.55%
    Draw 23.97%
WrexhamDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.334 0.33)
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.237 0.24)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.707 0.71)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.523 0.52)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.668 0.67)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.144 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.355 0.36)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.389 0.39)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 49.48%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.115 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.235 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.599 -0.6)
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.673 -0.67)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.644 -0.64)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.399 -0.4)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.357 -0.36)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 26.55%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Barnsley

Wrexham
Draw
Barnsley
Wrexham
91.7%
Draw
5.0%
Barnsley
3.3%
60
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2005 3pm
Barnsley
2-2
Wrexham
Chopra (72'), Nardiello (26')
Llewellyn (64'), Ferguson (58')
Aug 30, 2004 3pm
Wrexham
2-1
Barnsley
Roberts (61'), Armstrong (45')
Williams (52'), Armstrong (88')
Nardiello (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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