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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Barnsley

Shrewsbury
0 - 2
Barnsley


Nsiala (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Russell (45+2'), Watters (47')
Pines (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Charlton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Barnsley

Shrewsbury will be low on confidence after losing nine of their 13 league games this season, and we think that their difficult campaign will continue with a disappointing result at the weekend because we expect Barnsley to have the quality required to claim a narrow away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBarnsley
23.9% (-1.372 -1.37) 23.28% (-0.886 -0.89) 52.82% (2.253 2.25)
Both teams to score 56.18% (1.428 1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (2.584 2.58)44.39% (-2.589 -2.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (2.459 2.46)66.76% (-2.464 -2.46)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.247 0.25)32.48% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (0.279 0.28)69.01% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (1.812 1.81)16.79% (-1.817 -1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24% (3.139 3.14)46.75% (-3.145 -3.15)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 23.9%
    Barnsley 52.82%
    Draw 23.27%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 6.15% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-0 @ 6.13% (-0.668 -0.67)
2-0 @ 3.45% (-0.35 -0.35)
3-1 @ 2.31% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 23.9%
1-1 @ 10.94% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.119 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.636 -0.64)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.145 0.15)
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.508 -0.51)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.81% (0.415 0.42)
0-3 @ 5.16% (0.336 0.34)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.255 0.26)
1-4 @ 2.59% (0.323 0.32)
0-4 @ 2.3% (0.274 0.27)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.19 0.19)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.82%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Barnsley

Shrewsbury Town
6.3%
Draw
25.0%
Barnsley
68.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Shrewsbury
1-1
Barnsley
Cadden (7' og.)
Benning (49'), Marosi (67'), Perry (89')
Kane (90+2' pen.)
Phillips (58'), Durand de Gevigney (61')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Barnsley
3-0
Shrewsbury
Kane (19' pen.), Styles (23'), Cole (75')
Styles (14')

Dunkley (4'), Taylor (5'), Flanagan (80')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Barnsley
2-1
Shrewsbury
Cadden (40'), Cole (45+2')
Phillips (90+1')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Barnsley
2-1
Shrewsbury
Mowatt (23'), Brown (55')
Campbell (38')
Whalley (54'), Waterfall (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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