We said: Wrexham 2-1 Mansfield Town
With two sides growing in confidence at the top end of League One and boasting plenty of quality, we anticipate a hard-fought and entertaining encounter in Wales on Saturday.
Wrexham prevailed in two of these sides' three meetings last year and drew the other, and we back them to get over the line again at the Racecourse Ground.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.