We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 Sunderland
Unbeaten in nine league matches, Sunderland should arrive as favourites, but a decimated squad may be forced to merely battle for a point against a combative Wycombe side.
The hosts have lost only twice at home this term and are capable of threatening the Black Cats' back line with an experienced strikeforce, so should hold them to a score draw at Adams Park.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.