With only two points separating the sides in the table, this is likely to be a closely-fought contest, and although Sunderland are formidable at home, we think that Plymouth may snatch a point from the encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.