EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Arsenal5 - 1Sunderland
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Arsenal and Sunderland.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Arsenal and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Tuesday's EFL quarter-final clash with Sunderland.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's EFL Cup quarter-final against League One Sunderland.
We said: Arsenal 2-1 Sunderland
Changing the bulk of their side has not caused Arsenal's young squad any problems so far in the EFL Cup as they have progressed serenely with a second-string XI which still offers pace and guile. While Sunderland are set to put up strong resistance, and are likely to score themselves, the weight of attacking talent available to Mikel Arteta should ensure that the Gunners march on to the semi-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Sunderland |
| 56.56% | 22.99% | 20.45% |
| Both teams to score 52.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% | 47.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% | 69.33% |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% | 16.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.88% | 46.12% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.78% | 37.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.99% | 74% |
| Score Analysis |
Arsenal 56.55%
Sunderland 20.45%
Draw 22.98%
| Arsenal | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% 2-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 5.93% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 0.98% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.16% Total : 56.55% | 1-1 @ 10.91% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 6.05% 1-2 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.65% Total : 20.45% |
How you voted: Arsenal vs Sunderland
Arsenal
83.5%Draw
8.1%Sunderland
8.5%248
Head to Head
May 16, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 24, 2016 2.05pm
Jan 9, 2016 3pm
Third Round
Arsenal
3-1
Sunderland
Dec 5, 2015 3pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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