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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Port Vale |
36.23% | 28.86% | 34.92% |
Both teams to score 45.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.65% | 61.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.75% | 81.26% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.71% | 32.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.21% | 68.79% |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.85% | 33.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.25% | 69.75% |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |