FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale1 - 4Brentford
We said: Port Vale 0-2 Brentford
After nearly a month without competitive football, Port Vale players and supporters will be desperate to get back into action and they will be fired up for their challenging encounter against Premier League opposition. However, the loss of attacking trio Wilson, Proctor and Rodney is a blow for Vale, and although Clarke's men are sure to put up a fight, we expect the hosts to be stung by the Bees on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Brentford |
| 34.3% | 25.74% | 39.96% |
| Both teams to score 54.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
