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Port Vale
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Brentford logo

Port Vale
1 - 4
Brentford

Harratt (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Forss (26'), Mbeumo (66', 76', 87' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Port Vale and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Port Vale 0-2 Brentford

After nearly a month without competitive football, Port Vale players and supporters will be desperate to get back into action and they will be fired up for their challenging encounter against Premier League opposition. However, the loss of attacking trio Wilson, Proctor and Rodney is a blow for Vale, and although Clarke's men are sure to put up a fight, we expect the hosts to be stung by the Bees on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawBrentford
34.3%25.74%39.96%
Both teams to score 54.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74%49.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68%71.32%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49%27.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98%63.02%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67%24.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28%58.72%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 34.3%
    Brentford 39.96%
    Draw 25.74%
Port ValeDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-1 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.3%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.69%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 9.46%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 4.07%
0-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 39.96%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Brentford

Port Vale
20.3%
Draw
7.2%
Brentford
72.5%
69
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
Aug 3, 2013 3pm
Feb 14, 2009 3pm
Brentford
2-0
Port Vale
Osborne (45'), Macdonald (86')

Ahmed (10'), Prosser (26')
Nov 15, 2008 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Brentford

Richards (77')
Davidson (37')
Osborne (45'), Bean (67'), Macdonald (90')
Bennett (28'), Phillips (74'), Bowditch (86')
Apr 28, 2007 3pm
Brentford
4-3
Port Vale
Charles (89'), Keith (68' pen.), Ide (2', 39')
Constantine (59', 83'), Rodgers (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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