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Port Vale
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Brentford logo

Port Vale
1 - 4
Brentford

Harratt (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Forss (26'), Mbeumo (66', 76', 87' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Port Vale and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Port Vale 0-2 Brentford

After nearly a month without competitive football, Port Vale players and supporters will be desperate to get back into action and they will be fired up for their challenging encounter against Premier League opposition. However, the loss of attacking trio Wilson, Proctor and Rodney is a blow for Vale, and although Clarke's men are sure to put up a fight, we expect the hosts to be stung by the Bees on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawBrentford
34.3%25.74%39.96%
Both teams to score 54.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.74%49.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.68%71.32%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49%27.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98%63.02%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67%24.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28%58.72%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 34.3%
    Brentford 39.96%
    Draw 25.74%
Port ValeDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-1 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.3%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.69%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 9.46%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 4.07%
0-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 39.96%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Brentford

Port Vale
20.3%
Draw
7.2%
Brentford
72.5%
69
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
Aug 3, 2013 3pm
Feb 14, 2009 3pm
Brentford
2-0
Port Vale
Osborne (45'), Macdonald (86')

Ahmed (10'), Prosser (26')
Nov 15, 2008 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Brentford

Richards (77')
Davidson (37')
Osborne (45'), Bean (67'), Macdonald (90')
Bennett (28'), Phillips (74'), Bowditch (86')
Apr 28, 2007 3pm
Brentford
4-3
Port Vale
Charles (89'), Keith (68' pen.), Ide (2', 39')
Constantine (59', 83'), Rodgers (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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