Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.