League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Mar 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Broadfield Stadium

Crawley
1 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Hessenthaler (69')
Craig (13'), Payne (45'), Tsaroulla (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Anderson (41'), Collins (65')
Hoole (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Oldham 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Newport County	46	9	69
12	Crawley Town	46	-10	61
13	Leyton Orient	46	15	58

Bristol Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 7-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Exeter City	46	24	84
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80

We said: Crawley Town 2-2 Bristol Rovers

The result of this game could hinge on which side is less depleted by COVID-19, but taking that out of the equation we think this should be an entertaining and close contest that is most likely to end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
41.5%	25.96%	32.54%

Both teams to score 53.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.39%

50.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.48%

72.52%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86%

24.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.55%

58.45%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71%

29.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.75%

65.25%

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 41.49%

Bristol Rovers 32.54%

Draw 25.96%

Crawley Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.49%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 5.33% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.54%