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AFC Wimbledon
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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Bradford City

Gillingham
0 - 2
Bradford


Tutonda (66'), Lapslie (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smallwood (27'), Cook (49')
Platt (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Bradford City

Despite an improved performance in the FA Cup on Thursday night, Gillingham should not pose too much of a threat to Bradford on Sunday. The Gills have real issues scoring goals, while the visitors have won two of their last three away matches in the league, and are much the superior side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bradford City in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawBradford City
39.87% (0.471 0.47) 29.36% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 30.77% (-0.505 -0.5)
Both teams to score 43.17% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.45% (-0.223 -0.22)63.55% (0.225 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.14% (-0.159 -0.16)82.86% (0.161 0.16)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (0.16699999999999 0.17)31.16% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (0.195 0.2)67.5% (-0.193 -0.19)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71% (-0.505 -0.51)37.29% (0.507 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (-0.504 -0.5)74.07% (0.506 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 39.86%
    Bradford City 30.77%
    Draw 29.34%
GillinghamDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 13.54% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.136 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 13.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.61% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.34%
0-1 @ 11.46% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 30.77%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Bradford

Gillingham
31.6%
Draw
21.1%
Bradford City
47.4%
57
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gillingham
4-0
Bradford
Charles-Cook (48'), Eaves (65', 90'), List (69')

O'Brien (24'), Wright (61')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Bradford
1-0
Gillingham
Poleon (48')
Warnock (43'), Brunker (90'), Devine (90')

Zakuani (62')
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
Gillingham
0-1
Bradford

Lacey (31'), Byrne (55')
Wilkinson (75')
Poleon (19')
Reeves (22'), Patrick (29'), McMahon (62')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Bradford
2-2
Gillingham
Wyke (15'), McMahon (38')
Wright (14'), Oshilaja (49')
Dack (36'), Garmston (73'), Ehmer (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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